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Table 2 Goodness of fit statistics (AIC and one step ahead mean absolute deviation, MAD) for the fitted model with and without random effects

From: Estimating the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection in New Zealand border arrivals

Model

AIC

MAD

No random effects

1815

1.022

\(+\) country level RE

1328

0.780

\(+\) AR(1) correlation

1114

0.688