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Table 1 Modern contraceptives use, unmet need, demand satisfied, and attainability of 75% demand satisfied across Cameroon

From: Contraceptive use, unmet need, and demand satisfied for family planning across Cameroon: a subnational study including indirect effects of COVID-19 and armed conflict on projections

 

Modern contraceptive methods

75% demand satisfied with modern methods (2030)

Country

Region

Division

Use of (2015)

Use of (2030)

Unmet need for (2015)

Unmet need for (2030)

Demand satisfied with (2015)

Demand satisfied with (2030)

Attainment probability

Required increase in users of modern methods (compared with 2022)

        

Percentage (%)

Numbers (‘000)

CAMEROON

16.4 (13.1–20.2)

22.9 (10.9–40.2)

30.0 (25.8–34.9)

27.1 (18.6–37.5)

35.3 (29.1–41.9)

45.5 (26.5–65.1)

..

21.4 (4.0–37.4)

1429.7 (569.7–2243.2)

Adamawa

8.5 (6.7–10.5)

9.4 (4.0–20.1)

26.9 (23.2–31.3)

26.8 (19.0–36.6)

23.9 (19.2–28.9)

25.9 (12.6–44.8)

..

21.0 (9.9–32.9)

63.0 (33.8–95.0)

  Djerem

9.7 (7.6–12.4)

17.0 (8.1–31.9)

26.3 (22.4–30.6)

30.1 (21.5–40.1)

27.0 (21.6–33.0)

36.0 (19.8–55.6)

..

23.4 (8.837.5)

6.0 (2.69.4)

  Faro et Déo

1.5 (1.1–2.1)

0.2 (0.1–0.5)

21.2 (17.6–25.1)

23.9 (16.2–33.6)

6.5 (4.6–9.1)

0.8 (0.3–2.2)

..

18.0 (12.125.3)

2.3 (1.63.3)

  Mayo Banyo

3.3 (2.5–4.3)

3.5 (1.5–8.0)

20.7 (17.1–24.6)

23.6 (16.0–33.0)

13.7 (10.5–17.8)

13.0 (5.5–26.6)

..

17.9 (10.626.4)

9.2 (5.613.3)

  Mbéré

3.3 (2.5–4.3)

4.8 (2.1–11.2)

28.3 (24.1–32.8)

25.3 (17.8–34.9)

10.4 (7.9–13.7)

16.0 (6.9–31.5)

..

19.6 (11.629.3)

9.7 (5.914.3)

  Vina

10.4 (8.0–13.3)

12.6 (5.5–25.0)

28.3 (23.9–32.9)

29.6 (21.1–39.7)

26.8 (21.4–33.3)

30.0 (14.9–49.0)

..

22.9 (10.135.8)

37.2 (20.354.7)

Centre

26.1 (21.6–31.2)

33.7 (17.7–52.7)

32.3 (27.9–37.1)

25.2 (16.3–34.6)

44.7 (37.8–51.4)

56.8 (36.9–75.3)

3.0

17.9 (− 1.7–34.9)

358.4 (143.1–545.4)

  Haute Sanaga

17.6 (14.1–21.7)

22.9 (11.4–40.6)

41.5 (36.9–46.7)

33.5 (23.8–44.3)

29.7 (24.3–35.6)

40.4 (23.2–61.2)

..

26.1 (9.740.6)

3.7 (1.55.7)

  Lekié

25.5 (20.9–30.8)

33.0 (17.7–51.9)

29.7 (25.8–34.1)

22.8 (14.7–31.6)

46.2 (39.3–53.0)

58.8 (39.1–76.8)

4.0

15.7 (− 3.132.4)

5.1 (− 1.110.5)

  Mbam et Inoubou

30.7 (25.5–36.5)

40.2 (22.9–59.8)

28.2 (24.1–32.7)

19.7 (11.6–29.0)

52.2 (45.1–59.1)

66.9 (46.2–83.3)

18.0

12.2 (− 7.529.9)

4.3 (− 0.88.8)

  Mbam et Kim

22.4 (18.0–27.8)

35.1 (19.2–53.7)

30.3 (26.0–35.2)

24.4 (16.0–34.6)

42.5 (35.3–50.1)

58.6 (38.6–76.0)

3.0

17.6 (− 2.134.8)

2.7 (− 0.35.2)

  Mefou et Afamba

31.6 (26.1–37.7)

37.2 (21.0–56.8)

28.2 (24.1–32.7)

24.7 (15.9–34.8)

52.8 (45.8–60.3)

59.8 (40.0–77.6)

5.0

16.4 (− 3.133.2)

4.1 (0.57.2)

  Mefou et Akono

28.1 (22.9–33.6)

33.5 (18.0–53.7)

30.4 (26.2–35.1)

23.3 (14.4–33.5)

48.0 (40.9–54.9)

58.6 (38.0–78.0)

5.0

16.2 (− 3.233.2)

0.6 (− 0.31.3)

  Mfoundi

25.2 (20.6–29.8)

33.0 (17.9–51.2)

32.1 (27.5–36.9)

25.5 (17.0–35.5)

43.9 (37.3–50.7)

56.1 (36.6–73.8)

2.0

18.1 (− 0.734.4)

320.3 (148.0471.3)

  Nyong et Kéllé

22.5 (18.1–27.5)

25.2 (12.7–43.3)

48.4 (43.6–53.4)

40.2 (29.1–51.2)

31.6 (25.9–38.1)

38.2 (21.6–58.2)

..

30.4 (13.844.7)

7.2 (3.710.2)

  Nyong et Mfoumou

15.2 (12.0–19.0)

24.0 (11.6–41.9)

29.6 (25.4–34.1)

31.3 (22.2–41.2)

33.8 (28.0–40.7)

43.1 (24.9–63.4)

..

23.4 (6.638.7)

4.1 (1.46.6)

  Nyong et So'o

32.6 (26.8–38.9)

38.8 (21.3–58.0)

26.3 (22.3–30.7)

18.7 (10.8–28.0)

55.3 (48.2–62.6)

67.2 (45.7–83.9)

21.0

11.3 (− 8.529.2)

6.9 (1.012.4)

East

19.6 (15.6–24.2)

38.4 (21.5–57.3)

31.6 (26.5–37.3)

23.8 (14.4–37.4)

38.2 (30.9–46.0)

61.4 (39.8–79.1)

7.0

16.6 (− 3.4–34.4)

35.7 (3.9–64.0)

  Boumba et Ngoko

17.3 (12.9–21.8)

66.1 (48.1–80.5)

40.3 (34.2–46.7)

12.6 (6.2–22.4)

30.1 (23.0–37.0)

83.9 (69.3–92.7)

90.0

4.6 (− 13.621.0)

2.6 (− 1.66.3)

  Haut Nyong

15.8 (12.5–19.9)

36.1 (20.3–56.1)

27.0 (22.9–31.0)

18.9 (11.5– 27.8)

36.9 (30.5–43.9)

65.4 (44.8–82.0)

15.0

13.6 (− 5.931.0)

3.6 (− 1.28.0)

  Kadey

17.3 (13.6–21.8)

42.8 (25.7–60.6)

29.7 (24.8–34.8)

23.2 (14.0–36.2)

36.9 (30.0–44.1)

64.5 (44.5–80.5)

11.0

16.0 (− 5.033.6)

9.0 (0.216.5)

  Lom et Djerem

19.2 (14.8–24.1)

34.0 (19.0–53.0)

30.6 (25.6–37.0)

24.2 (15.5–37.8)

38.5 (30.3–46.4)

57.9 (37.2–76.0)

4.0

17.7 (− 2.335.2)

17.5 (3.829.5)

  Far North

5.1 (4.0–6.5)

10.8 (4.8–22.5)

23.1 (19.5–27.2)

23.2 (15.9–32.4)

18.0 (14.2–22.7)

31.8 (16.5–52.2)

..

18.2 (6.9–30.4)

164.3 (73.5–263.0)

  Diamaré

8.8 (6.9–11.2)

13.6 (6.2–26.6)

27.4 (23.1–32.0)

23.8 (16.7–32.9)

24.4 (19.4–30.1)

36.2 (19.7–55.8)

..

18.7 (6.131.8)

33.5 (13.654.5)

  Logone et Chari

4.9 (3.8–6.3)

14.9 (6.5–29.5)

22.9 (19.2–27.1)

22.3 (15.1–31.5)

17.6 (13.5–22.5)

39.9 (21.0–60.9)

..

18.8 (6.132.5)

44.1 (20.470.7)

  Mayo Danay

2.9 (2.2–3.8)

7.0 (3.0–14.8)

20.4 (16.9–24.3)

20.5 (13.9–29.4)

12.4 (9.2–16.4)

25.3 (12.2–44.5)

..

16.0 (7.525.9)

18.6 (9.229.6)

  Mayo Kani

3.0 (2.3–3.9)

8.4 (3.7–18.2)

23.1 (19.3–27.4)

22.4 (15.3–31.0)

11.4 (8.6–15.0)

27.5 (13.4–47.4)

..

18.0 (8.128.8)

14.4 (6.922.7)

  Mayo Sava

3.4 (2.6–4.3)

6.0 (2.6–13.3)

23.2 (19.5–27.7)

21.6 (14.5–30.5)

12.7 (9.6–16.4)

21.9 (10.2–40.6)

..

17.0 (8.826.7)

9.2 (4.814.5)

  Mayo Tsanaga

4.3 (3.3–5.7)

15.9 (7.2–30.9)

18.2 (15.0–21.8)

22.9 (15.7–32.2)

19.1 (14.8–24.4)

40.8 (21.7–62.1)

..

19.4 (6.033.1)

48.0 (20.077.3)

Littoral

21.1 (16.6–25.9)

26.4 (13.5–44.1)

35.2 (29.9–41.0)

28.7 (19.8–40.3)

37.5 (30.1–45.0)

47.5 (28.7–66.3)

..

22.7 (4.4–39.3)

292.4 (132.2–440.2)

  Moungo

15.3 (11.6–19.4)

27.2 (14.0–44.8)

40.7 (35.5–46.4)

33.3 (23.7–44.8)

27.3 (20.9–33.6)

44.5 (26.3–63.4)

..

26.0 (7.741.6)

11.2 (3.218.0)

  Nkam

21.9 (17.4–26.9)

35.6 (19.4–54.8)

38.4 (33.4–43.6)

26.0 (16.9–35.7)

36.3 (29.8–43.4)

57.3 (37.5–75.6)

3.0

18.6 (− 0.335.7)

0.6 (− 0.11.2)

  Sanaga Maritime

18.1 (14.3–22.6)

17.3 (8.0–32.5)

33.9 (29.5–38.8)

34.6 (24.9–45.5)

34.9 (28.4–41.4)

33.1 (17.3–53.3)

..

26.0 (10.440.3)

6.1 (2.79.4)

  Wouri

22.0 (17.5–26.8)

26.2 (13.4–44.0)

32.8 (27.9–38.6)

28.1 (19.2–39.2)

40.2 (32.2–47.5)

48.0 (29.1–67.1)

..

21.7 (3.438.4)

268.5 (120.5405.4)

North

8.2 (6.5–10.3)

10.8 (4.9–22.6)

25.0 (21.0–29.1)

22.2 (15.6–30.8)

24.7 (19.9–30.1)

32.7 (17.0–52.9)

..

17.5 (6.7–29.9)

174.5 (89.5–276.1)

  Bénoué

8.1 (6.4–10.4)

14.3 (6.5–27.9)

26.8 (22.6–31.2)

24.2 (16.8–33.3)

23.4 (18.5–29.0)

36.9 (20.3–57.2)

..

19.1 (6.432.7)

132.2 (68.0204.1)

  Faro

4.4 (3.4–5.7)

4.9 (2.1–10.8)

26.4 (22.3–31.2)

20.9 (13.9–29.8)

14.3 (11.0–18.4)

18.9 (8.4–36.5)

..

16.2 (8.525.0)

1.0 (0.51.6)

  Mayo Louti

3.9 (3.0–5.0)

8.0 (3.5–17.8)

21.3 (17.7–25.3)

19.0 (12.9–27.7)

15.4 (11.7–19.7)

29.3 (14.3–50.4)

..

15.4 (6.626.0)

27.9 (14.345.1)

  Mayo Rey

3.1 (2.4–4.1)

10.3 (4.5–21.2)

25.1 (21.0–29.7)

21.0 (14.3–29.6)

11.1 (8.4–14.9)

32.9 (16.8–53.2)

..

16.6 (6.528.0)

22.5 (10.736.0)

Northwest

25.2 (20.7–30.4)

30.1 (16.0–48.6)

29.7 (25.4–34.6)

25.4 (17.1–35.1)

45.8 (38.6–53.2)

53.9 (35.2–72.5)

1.0

18.5 (0.1–35.3)

63.4 (16.4–106.6)

  Boyo

0.1 (0.1–0.3)

0.7 (0.1–2.5)

36.2 (29.4–44.0)

40.1 (27.3–56.4)

0.4 (0.2–0.8)

1.6 (0.4–5.5)

..

30.4 (20.143.2)

4.6 (3.06.5)

  Bui

21.5 (17.1 –26.5)

27.7 (14.4–46.5)

24.6 (20.9–29.0)

21.3 (14.0–29.9)

46.6 (39.1–54.0)

56.1 (36.1–75.1)

3.0

16.0 (− 1.232.5)

9.8 (2.017.5)

  Donga Mantung

9.9 (7.7–12.4)

25.7 (12.6–44.5)

29.9 (25.4–34.6)

25.1 (17.0–34.4)

24.8 (19.8–30.7)

50.2 (30.4–70.6)

1.0

21.1 (4.237.1)

8.7 (2.514.5)

  Menchum

0.1 (0.1–0.2)

0.4 (0.1–1.3)

28.7 (22.6–35.9)

28.6 (18.9–41.2)

0.4 (0.2–0.9)

1.2 (0.3–4.6)

..

21.6 (14.031.0)

5.3 (3.47.6)

  Mezam

32.6 (26.5–38.9)

38.7 (22.6–57.0)

27.5 (22.3–34.0)

22.5 (14.3–33.6)

54.1 (45.4–62.4)

62.8 (42.5–78.9)

8.0

14.7 (− 4.732.2)

28.8 (9.346.2)

  Momo

7.3 (4.5–11.4)

13.0 (4.6–30.5)

31.9 (25.5–38.9)

31.8 (22.1–43.3)

18.7 (12.0–27.3)

29.1 (12.3–52.3)

..

25.0 (5.143.4)

3.6 (0.66.4)

  Ngo Ketunjia

30.3 (24.9–36.1)

32.7 (17.1–52.4)

31.4 (27.0–36.1)

29.8 (19.0–40.8)

49.1 (41.8–56.2)

52.0 (32.0–72.6)

1.0

21.6 (2.737.5)

4.2 (0.87.0)

West

20.3 (16.1–24.9)

25.9 (13.0–43.5)

32.0 (26.8–37.8)

28.0 (19.1–39.7)

38.9 (31.6–46.4)

47.9 (28.9–66.4)

..

21.9 (3.5–38.5)

74.5 (21.0–123.3)

  Bamboutos

28.1 (22.6–34.6)

38.6 (22.1–57.0)

33.3 (27.8–39.7)

26.9 (17.0–38.7)

45.8 (37.3–54.2)

58.8 (38.3–76.2)

4.0

18.6 (− 0.635.0)

8.7 (0.715.6)

  Haut Nkam

20.6 (15.6–26.2)

23.8 (11.8–40.5)

35.6 (29.1–43.4)

33.9 (23.5–46.5)

36.6 (27.6–45.5)

41.2 (23.4–60.8)

..

26.3 (8.242.6)

4.2 (1.26.8)

  Hauts Plateaux

1.4 (1.0–2.1)

0.3 (0.1–0.7)

36.0 (31.0–41.4)

26.1 (18.1–36.0)

3.8 (2.6–5.5)

1.0 (0.3–2.9)

..

19.7 (13.527.2)

0.9 (0.61.3)

  Koung Khi

18.0 (13.8–22.8)

21.2 (10.0–38.2)

36.2 (30.3–42.1)

30.6 (21.4–42.6)

33.2 (25.8–40.9)

40.7 (22.9–60.6)

..

24.5 (6.940.7)

0.6 (0.01.2)

  Menoua

26.3 (20.8–32.2)

34.3 (18.8–52.3)

32.9 (27.1–39.9)

27.1 (17.9–38.9)

44.5 (35.5–53.1)

55.5 (35.8–73.4)

2.0

19.9 (0.936.4)

5.3 (− 0.310.2)

  Mifi

23.6 (18.3–29.2)

35.1 (19.5–54.2)

35.6 (29.8–42.0)

25.6 (16.7–37.3)

39.8 (31.4–48.0)

57.4 (37.9–75.5)

3.0

19.9 (0.836.7)

24.8 (9.238.5)

  Ndé

16.1 (12.1–20.7)

37.4 (20.7–56.8)

28.2 (23.1–34.5)

22.5 (14.0–32.5)

36.5 (27.5–44.7)

62.3 (41.6–79.6)

9.0

17.8 (− 1.034.4)

2.0 (0.03.8)

  Noun

10.2 (7.5–13.5)

20.1 (9.7–36.2)

25.7 (21.6–30.6)

25.7 (17.7–36.5)

28.4 (21.7–35.6)

43.7 (25.5–62.6)

..

20.5 (3.837.0)

24.4 (7.341.4)

South

21.6 (17.8–26.1)

20.3 (9.8–37.5)

31.2 (27.1–35.4)

29.7 (21.3–39.9)

40.9 (35.0–47.2)

40.2 (22.9–60.7)

..

22.6 (6.9–37.6)

54.3 (26.1–81.6)

  Dja et Lobo

13.7 (10.8–17.3)

11.9 (5.3–24.0)

30.2 (25.9–35.1)

29.6 (20.7–39.7)

31.2 (25.5–37.5)

28.7 (14.5–48.5)

..

22.8 (10.135.7)

8.1 (4.012.4)

  Mvila

23.7 (19.3–29.0)

30.7 (15.8–50.3)

31.0 (26.8–35.7)

30.0 (19.3–41.2)

43.4 (36.6–50.5)

50.3 (30.1–71.2)

1.0

21.3 (2.837.0)

20.9 (9.830.4)

  Océan

13.3 (10.2–17.0)

12.9 (5.7–26.3)

42.4 (37.0–47.9)

40.7 (30.7–52.1)

24.0 (18.7–29.9)

24.0 (12.0–41.8)

..

32.2 (17.845.1)

26.7 (16.935.8)

  Vallée du Ntem

22.5 (18.3–27.7)

34.3 (18.3–53.7)

25.8 (22.0–30.1)

24.6 (15.6–34.7)

46.6 (39.8–53.8)

57.9 (37.7–76.5)

4.0

17.9 (− 1.134.5)

4.4 (0.97.4)

Southwest

22.4 (17.9–27.4)

26.2 (13.4–44.3)

31.9 (27.4–37.3)

28.2 (19.5–38.9)

41.2 (33.8–48.4)

47.9 (29.8–67.4)

..

21.6 (3.2–37.8)

66.8 (21.4–106.8)

  Fako

20.1 (15.9–24.9)

22.8 (11.5–40.1)

30.6 (25.8–36.0)

29.8 (21.3–40.4)

39.5 (32.1–47.0)

43.1 (25.6–62.8)

..

22.4 (5.638.3)

36.0 (15.655.5)

  Koupé Manengouba

29.0 (19.5–39.2)

51.0 (28.7–71.6)

35.3 (26.8–47.3)

18.7 (9.2–32.4)

45.0 (30.8–58.3)

72.9 (49.5–88.4)

42.0

12.6 (− 16.438.1)

0.5 (− 2.43.1)

  Lebialem

17.3 (10.8–25.4)

35.9 (15.7–60.6)

30.0 (22.9–40.0)

17.1 (9.4–30.3)

36.5 (23.7–48.9)

67.1 (39.8–85.3)

23.0

15.0 (− 15.442.3)

2.7 (− 2.27.2)

  Manyu

30.6 (21.6–40.6)

47.4 (25.0–70.3)

32.4 (25.7–40.7)

17.5 (8.5–31.0)

48.5 (36.3–60.0)

72.7 (47.3–88.8)

41.0

10.7 (− 20.537.5)

6.6 (− 3.915.5)

  Meme

24.3 (19.4–29.7)

34.3 (18.4–53.5)

28.0 (23.8–33.2)

20.8 (13.1–30.1)

46.4 (38.6–53.7)

62.0 (41.9–79.3)

9.0

16.0 (− 2.932.8)

11.5 (1.320.6)

  Ndian

21.0 (13.5–30.0)

34.3 (15.5–57.2)

35.3 (26.8–45.7)

28.7 (16.5–46.7)

37.2 (24.6–50.5)

53.9 (28.0–76.5)

4.0

22.2 (− 8.146.2)

1.9 (− 1.34.5)

  1. Estimates are in % (95% credible interval); modern methods refer to modern contraceptive methods; .. = 0% attainment probability. Slight discrepancies between higher vs combined lower administrative unit estimates stem from differences in observations (data points) and separate runs of the FPET model per unit. Even though, statistical tests (p < 0.05) showed no significant differences (Additional File 3: Table S5)